Looking at talent and available historical data Thomas Minton is the most likely person who to be regarded as the inventor of the willow pattern. Thomas Minton was apprenticed as an engraver to Thomas Turner at Caughley, and was later employed by Josiah Spode at his London warehouse to engrave copper plates until 1789, after which he left London to established himself as a master engraver at Stoke-on-Trent. Here he executed versions of the Willow pattern and other designs adapted from Oriental originals for Spode and other potters.
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